Of course we do not know what the forthcoming meetings will decide about the divisional structure for the start of 2022, but there appear to me to be two clear options:
Either:
1) Use positions and structure as originally planned for 2022 before Covid wrecked everything (ie 10 teams in Division 1 and 8 in Division 2) with Notts (as relegated 2019) in Div 2 and Lancs, Northants, Gloucester promoted to Div 1;
Or
2) Use final (average) points according to 2021 results. By simply adding the points from the ten group games to the points for the four (or three for Surrey and Durham) games actually played in Divs 1, 2 & 3, we can get a single table. The top ten go into the new Div 1 and the bottom eight into Div 2.
On that basis, according to my calculations, positions as of Monday night (on average points for all teams) would be as follows:
1 Nottinghamshire
2 Hampshire
3 Lancashire
4 Essex
5 Yorkshire
6 Durham
7 Warwickshire
8 Gloucestershire
9 Kent
10 Northamptonshire
11 Somerset
12 Leicestershire
13 Surrey
14 Middlesex
15 Glamorgan
16 Worcestershire
17 Sussex
18 Derbyshire
This will of course change a bit at the end of the current round of games but, as currently shown would mean Notts returning to Div1, Durham going up too, and relegations for Surrey and Somerset.
I am not optimistic that the Counties will be brave enough though!