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Russia invading Ukraine (NEWS/UPDATES)

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Thinks that’s rapidly changing to a ‘let’s not cause world annihilation’ lens

Bollocks. If he was willing to order a nuclear attack then he wouldn’t give two shits whether or not Ukraine was in NATO, would he?

The only reason to fear Ukraine joining NATO, is to fear war with the west. If he didn’t fear war with the west, Ukraine joining NATO would be completely insignificant to him.
Before this war had started I would have agreed that Ukraine should not have been allowed to join EU or NATO. However, Putin has fucked that up.

Sounds like the EU Parliament intends to recommend “applicant status” for Ukraine tomorrow.

Putin has really fucked up here. There’s no obvious end game. All he’s done is cripple his economy, and unite the entire free world under the “Putin is a shithouse” flag. To the extent that even the Chinese won’t vote with him at UN level.
 
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NATO seem to be emboldened. Using NATO airfields to launch missions will likely inflame Putin. It could potentially pave the way for Ukraine to launch other operations from outside (And stop Russia destroying assets on the ground)

Also 70 planes is a fuck load!! I thought the EU was giving them about 5

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There’s currently no get out for Putin, he’s completely cornered from all sides. Even if he presses on and takes Ukraine it will be impossible to govern. His only option is fast becoming the nuclear one.

We therefore have to give him some kind of get out. I’m not saying we should back down in any way but we need to make him think he has some kind of victory no matter how hollow.

He’s finished anyway, he will either be killed or overthrown. He has zero chance of holding on to power.

No get outs, hold your nerve.

Give Putin a victory now and the nukes get threatened again in 5 years over something else. I have 99.9% confidence that he won't nuke anyone whilst NATO isn't threatening and if he did want to nuke someone would relieve him of his duties one way or another. Under no circumstances sell Ukraine or anything else out.
 
Currently reading gordon corera’s Russians amongst us book, seems the crumbling of the kgb and corruption of the Yeltsin years with American/foreign piss taking was the major factor.

Putin, and Russia in general have a massive grievance over what they perceive as their humiliation internationally when the Soviet Union collapsed. That's a huge part of their motivation

Right now they are being humiliated again in Ukraine. This may well make Putin more aggressive not less, and encourage lots of Russians to back him
 
The difficulty of that is that he will have won. And it will further enable him

I don’t know what the answer is sadly
Someone said earlier in the thread, and I’d be inclined to agree with them, that the only way this will be deescalated now is if Putin is given some sort of victory or at least the perception of one. Like you I don’t know what that could be.

I guess the alternative is from an uprising in Russia but if that was to happen then I can’t see it being for quite some time and I dread to think of the damage that will be done in the meantime.
 
Its who they blame that's the concern
This.

When they don’t even have a free press it’s going to be a lot easier to manipulate a population with propaganda aimed at the West. At least we already know that we won’t be getting the full facts in this part of the world for various reasons.

Will the Russian people be questioning why social media sites have been blocked for days now?
 
Bollocks. If he was willing to order a nuclear attack then he wouldn’t give two shits whether or not Ukraine was in NATO, would he?

The only reason to fear Ukraine joining NATO, is to fear war with the west. If he didn’t fear war with the west, Ukraine joining NATO would be completely insignificant to him.


Sounds like the EU Parliament intends to recommend “applicant status” for Ukraine tomorrow.

Putin has really fucked up here. There’s no obvious end game. All he’s done is cripple his economy, and unite the entire free world under the “Putin is a shithouse” flag. To the extent that even the Chinese won’t vote with him at UN level.
He knows fine well he'd be dust if he actually went to war with the likes of the Yanks.
 
We ignored it and look what happened.

If Ukraine's proposed membership of NATO was taken off the table then this war almost certainly doesn't happen - most experts agree with this. And I'm not saying we hand Ukraine over to Russia, make them a Russian satellite state etc, they'd be a neutral, indepedent country with an agreement not to join NATO.

You mean appeasement?

Putin wants puppet regimes in Belarus, Georgia and Ukraine. Georgia didn't apply to NATO but Russia still went to war against them. Belarus have no intention of joining NATO but still have a pro-Russian puppet regime

All of that nonsense about NATO expansion is a just an excuse for Russia to take action, an excuse easily believed by those who back appeasement
 
Had it coming Russia havent they. A proper rogue nation who have probably been given a lot of rope and had people turning a blind eye because most of them have white skin, irrespective of any current conflict.

*serial sporting Drug cheats.
*Serial computer hackers & cyber criminals.
*Poor human rights & LGBT record.
*Serial Poisoners on foreign shores.
*Got away with shooting down a civilian Boeing 777 killing hundreds of people most of who probably suffered horrific deaths.

If they had brown skin the west would have been imploring that we deal with these bastards long before now tbh.
 
Bollocks. If he was willing to order a nuclear attack then he wouldn’t give two shits whether or not Ukraine was in NATO, would he?

The only reason to fear Ukraine joining NATO, is to fear war with the west. If he didn’t fear war with the west, Ukraine joining NATO would be completely insignificant to him.


Sounds like the EU Parliament intends to recommend “applicant status” for Ukraine tomorrow.

Putin has really fucked up here. There’s no obvious end game. All he’s done is cripple his economy, and unite the entire free world under the “Putin is a shithouse” flag. To the extent that even the Chinese won’t vote with him at UN level.
Once again China are just sitting back and watching how things play out whilst being largely unaffected by any fall out.
 
This.

When they don’t even have a free press it’s going to be a lot easier to manipulate a population with propaganda aimed at the West. At least we already know that we won’t be getting the full facts in this part of the world for various reasons.

Will the Russian people be questioning why social media sites have been blocked for days now?
It’ll be getting blamed on Ukraine and the West you’d imagine.
 
You mean appeasement?

Putin wants puppet regimes in Belarus, Georgia and Ukraine. Georgia didn't apply to NATO but Russia still went to war against them. Belarus have no intention of joining NATO but still have a pro-Russian puppet regime

All of that nonsense about NATO expansion is a just an excuse for Russia to take action, an excuse easily believed by those who back appeasement
Any appetite to joint NATO is largely borne out of the threat that Russia poses and the aggression they continuously demonstrate as you say. No matter what way you look at it, Ukraine and/or NATO didn’t start this.
 
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Had it coming Russia havent they. A proper rogue nation who have probably been given a lot of rope and had people turning a blind eye because most of them have white skin, irrespective of any current conflict.

*serial sporting Drug cheats.
*Serial computer hackers & cyber criminals.
*Poor human rights & LGBT record.
*Serial Poisoners on foreign shores.
*Got away with shooting down a civilian Boeing 777 killing hundreds of people most of who probably suffered horrific deaths.

If they had brown skin the west would have been imploring that we deal with these bastards long before now tbh.

You were doing so well there....
 
Had it coming Russia havent they. A proper rogue nation who have probably been given a lot of rope and had people turning a blind eye because most of them have white skin, irrespective of any current conflict.

*serial sporting Drug cheats.
*Serial computer hackers & cyber criminals.
*Poor human rights & LGBT record.
*Serial Poisoners on foreign shores.
*Got away with shooting down a civilian Boeing 777 killing hundreds of people most of who probably suffered horrific deaths.

If they had brown skin the west would have been imploring that we deal with these bastards long before now tbh.
Putin is a covid denier as well
 
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