Super Sixes set up nicely with 4 teams in legitimate contention for the 2 World Cup spots. At this point it feels like WI and Ireland are favorites. WI bats are hitting form, and if they continue in this vein they overmatch everyone else. Ireland vs Zimbabwe likely the other key game to determine the second spot. Scotland have done very well so far but have a feeling they will wilt down the stretch, with UAE as their only win in the super sixes. UAE will be whipping boys. Maybe against the Scots they pull an upset but otherwise sunk. Don’t really see Afghanistan making it to the top two. Their only contribution to final standings is if they can play spoiler and upset either WI or Ireland
For 3 of the 4 the teams that didn’t make it to the super sixes, there is the small matter getting the 16th and final ODI status till 2022. The Dutch have nothing to play for, their ODI status is guaranteed because they won the previous WCL division 1 tournament. Expect a motivated HK to beat them and advance to the 7th place match. Nepal vs PNG is a toss-up. The last 2 matches between them have been close wins for PNG (2 wickets, 3 balls remaining and 3 wickets, 2 balls remaining). Heart says Nepal reverses it this time around and makes it to the 7th place match.
Winner of the 7th place match gets ODI status.