Kiev will have Russian tanks in the centre in next few days but then what do they do? The world has moved on. It isn’t 1950s any more. People have got used to travel, freedom, they have mobiles and internet. It is a nightmare unfolding but I haven’t lost hope for the people of Ukraine.
I don’t know what Putin is thinking is the endgame to this.
Even if he walks into Kiev, Kharvik and Lyiv and takes a PR win they won’t have taken the country.
A tiny proportion of the Ukrainian armed forces, police, civil defence force and national guard will have been lost. He won’t hold 99% of the country.
Zelensky could flee and rule from exile. If not Putin still is going to struggle to put in a puppet government or sham elections in a country of 50 million people who even before this were 84% unfavourable towards the Kremlin.
He is going to be in there for years fighting widespread disobedience and most likely a major insurgency even if he does ‘take Kiev’ relatively quickly