I still don't see a scenario with more lockdowns in the UK. Virtually closed borders is the most extreme I can envisage now, with the vaccine levels in the low 90's and hospitalisations/ICU beds/deaths all under control, inside the UK, masks may stay (maybe shouldn't have been dropped) - passports for major events and maybe even anything 250+, a fresh emphasis on home working is almost likely. Workplace and school testing into overdrive. But no more "stay at home" type stuff nor early closures.