Convincing needn't be "forcing", it can be reasoning, arguing, influencing, or guiding, or cajoling. I could convince someone that Arrichi's ice cream is the best in the region without "forcing" them to agree. But then you know that full well. If your argument consists of quibbling over semantics, don't you think it's a bit silly?
Ashley has, on a number of occasions proven his loyalty to friends and colleagues at Newcastle. However if it saves his investment, I'm comfortable with Charnley being thrown under the bus. However, nobody knows what the outcome will be and yet you've stated that a custodial sentence is almost certain.
The fairly obvious point I was making, way back when, is that without knowing enough facts, or there being a sufficiently similar situation recently that set precedent, it's pointless to make predictions about winding up orders, transfer embargos, or expulsion from the league.
If nothing like that happens, you'll look very foolish.