9th July corona deaths uk

Andy_Roker1983 said:
that’s disappointing wonder if that means the R rate is over 1, if it’s at less than 1 then the number should reduce. It’s difficult to calculate though because this is comparing the number of cases to a week ago
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Didn't someone post a while back that once the number of cases gets lower, the 'R' rate ceases to be a true reflection as even a slight increase in cases means the 'R' rate jumps a lot higher.

Like in Germany, when they had that spike in the food factory. The 'R rate went from almost nothing to something like 2.88 overnight. Once the localised spike was contained and dealt with, the 'R' rate almost immediately dropped again.
 


Andy_Roker1983 said:
that’s disappointing wonder if that means the R rate is over 1, if it’s at less than 1 then the number should reduce. It’s difficult to calculate though because this is comparing the number of cases to a week ago
Click to expand...

I would not say dissapointing-(although no consolation for those affected) its never going to go from 100 to zero overnight- maybe more frustrating than anything as we all want to see it vanish to nothing but in reality its not going too
 
again cases look very low for the region. few areas I've tracked

county durham - 2 new cases
boro - 0
sunderland - 0
Hartlepool - 0
Newcastle - 2
Stockton - 1
Gateshead - 2
Darlington - 0

for perspective Leicester recorded 72 new cases and have recorded 437 cases in the last 8 days of recordings
85 uk deaths today down from 89 last week and previously, 149, 135, 151, 176, 413 (I think this was the week they loaded loads of excess deaths into a week), 338, 428, 539
 
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TopCat said:
Which bit is disappointing?
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The number of cases being higher
Jap Stammer said:
Didn't someone post a while back that once the number of cases gets lower, the 'R' rate ceases to be a true reflection as even a slight increase in cases means the 'R' rate jumps a lot higher.

Like in Germany, when they had that spike in the food factory. The 'R rate went from almost nothing to something like 2.88 overnight. Once the localised spike was contained and dealt with, the 'R' rate almost immediately dropped again.
Click to expand...
MalcolmX said:
I would not say dissapointing-(although no consolation for those affected) its never going to go from 100 to zero overnight- maybe more frustrating than anything as we all want to see it vanish to nothing but in reality its not going too
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no but it’s nice to keep seeing new cases going down, it’s not much use only using a 1 day comparison from the previous week though. Although someone said the 7 day average for new cases is up? Is this the case ?
Jap Stammer said:
Didn't someone post a while back that once the number of cases gets lower, the 'R' rate ceases to be a true reflection as even a slight increase in cases means the 'R' rate jumps a lot higher.

Like in Germany, when they had that spike in the food factory. The 'R rate went from almost nothing to something like 2.88 overnight. Once the localised spike was contained and dealt with, the 'R' rate almost immediately dropped again.
Click to expand...
That makes sense the weekly rolling average of new cases may be a better indicator.
 
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Jap Stammer said:
Didn't someone post a while back that once the number of cases gets lower, the 'R' rate ceases to be a true reflection as even a slight increase in cases means the 'R' rate jumps a lot higher.

Like in Germany, when they had that spike in the food factory. The 'R rate went from almost nothing to something like 2.88 overnight. Once the localised spike was contained and dealt with, the 'R' rate almost immediately dropped again.
Click to expand...
R rate is made up nonsense
 

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