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Supercomputer Predictions

Frijj said:
See above regarding why the “supercomputer” has teams like Brentford winning the league in some simulations.
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True. But the supercomputer can only make calculations based on the information it has access to.

The calculations made today will be different if made tomorrow, or next week, because players will move and get injured.

It’s also true to say that a 10,000 permutation base is not particularly extensive.
 

PhilY said:
True. But the supercomputer can only make calculations based on the information it has access to.

The calculations made today will be different if made tomorrow, or next week, because players will move and get injured.

It’s also true to say that a 10,000 permutation base is not particularly extensive.
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Fully agree.

Opta keeping the electricity bill down I reckon.
 
Last seasons predictions according to chatgpt:

Opta Supercomputer (Aug 2024)21st — clear relegation candidate
Other expert/betting analysistsBottom‑5 / likely relegation or survival
Fan commentary (Wise Men Say)Mid-table (14th–6th)

Hopefully they will all be as wildly wrong this season.
 
Daft sewper compewter
harryCLSsafc said:
No surprises.

As it stands we will go down, but the world moves on and who knows how our new team will do. I don't expect top 10 but I do expect us to be competitive with at least the bottom 6. But we will have an early indication of how things may well pan out after our first few fixtures, which includes teams we would certainly have to beat at home and away eg Burnley) to give ourselves a chance of staying up.

first rain check might be say the end of October.
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If we can beat those teams at home and draw away, along with the odd the extra point from the free hits then we would probably be ok.
 
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Computerrrrrrr saysssss nooo
PJH said:
Big difference in spread between last year an this year. Puts only Liverpool and Arsenal at 100% safe from relegation, and only us as 100% not getting top 4. 17 teams managed to win a simulated league, compared to 4 the year before.

Lowest highest team position certainty last season (as in looking at teams finishing position percentages, which teams individual highest percentage is the lowest of all 20 teams) was West Ham with a 9.5% of finishing 10th. This season it's both Bournmouth and Man Utd with 7.4%. For Bournmouth it's finishing 9th, for Man Utd it's for finishing 13th. From what I see 9 teams in total have a lower highest percentage for this season than West Ham's 9.5%.

Despite out dire supercomputer performance, we still survive in 33.6% of the simulations!
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Friggen hell my brain is fried
 
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thecloughywobble said:
I guess that if you look at the raw numbers, this is pretty much how you'd expect the table to be. If it were so simple, fortunes could be made by predicting outcomes. They tend not to be made because it's not that simple. Luck plays a huge part in football. Above all else, I hope we have lots (of the good variety).

As an aside, if the thread originator were to make handmade bespoke ladies' shoes, would they be Jimmy Tu's?
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I know Jimmy Choos sister, Penny
 
PJH said:
Big difference in spread between last year an this year. Puts only Liverpool and Arsenal at 100% safe from relegation, and only us as 100% not getting top 4. 17 teams managed to win a simulated league, compared to 4 the year before.

Lowest highest team position certainty last season (as in looking at teams finishing position percentages, which teams individual highest percentage is the lowest of all 20 teams) was West Ham with a 9.5% of finishing 10th. This season it's both Bournmouth and Man Utd with 7.4%. For Bournmouth it's finishing 9th, for Man Utd it's for finishing 13th. From what I see 9 teams in total have a lower highest percentage for this season than West Ham's 9.5%.

Despite out dire supercomputer performance, we still survive in 33.6% of the simulations!
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Can't believe people still use the term Supercomputer. Even the average dishwasher has the processing power to calculate that nobody wants to sign for the Mags.
Surely The Chronicle just plays every game on their xbox and reveals the Mags are champions by January, the same day were relegated on -10 points.
 
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AI.

Nearly all data-driven models and expert commentary foresee Sunderland finishing in the relegation zone in 2025‑26, with a strong likelihood of immediate relegation back to the Championship. While football is never deterministic, the current consensus is clear: finishing 19th or 20th is the most probable outcome.
 
they just run it off their Opta power rankings thing

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they've not allocated for any transfers or anything in the summer so their ratings are currently out of whack (see: Sheff Wed ranked 14th for Champ currently)

a much better guide to current order of ability is the Spread Betting firms total points market
 
I would say there's virtually a 0% chance of finishing bottom. Burnley have got that sewn up. Think we'll finish 13th-17th then build on that the following season.
 
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