Sweden

The key is the over 80s, Sweden 10m population, 600k over 80. The other Nordic countries, half the size, yet just over one third Swedens over 80s.its all about the potential victims and at each and every turn that should have been the priority, Sweden failed on that score IMO, but this wasn't a general population fault which is what the lockdown or otherwise argument is about.

Not sure on your numbers there , Finland, Denmark , Norway have a similar %age of their population over 80 years old

See your point of the merit of lockdown on the general population point. But again, exclude all the over 80 deaths in Sweden it has still recorded 5 x the number of total covid deaths in Finland yet only has 2x tbe total population . So Sweden’s approach has clearly not served their < 80 year old population well either
 


Not sure on your numbers there , Finland, Denmark , Norway have a similar %age of their population over 80 years old

See your point of the merit of lockdown on the general population point. But again, exclude all the over 80 deaths in Sweden it has still recorded 5 x the number of total covid deaths in Finland yet only has 2x tbe total population . So Sweden’s approach has clearly not served their < 80 year old population well either
It's not about percent, its about actual numbers of over 80s. Sweden hasn't done well, but I suppose the point is it hasn't collapsed with its approach, certainly not anyway near the numbers predicted.
 
It's not about percent, its about actual numbers of over 80s. Sweden hasn't done well, but I suppose the point is it hasn't collapsed with its approach, certainly not anyway near the numbers predicted.

Ok, ignore %ages. Sweden has recorded 5x the number of <80year old deaths compared to Finland, but only has twice the overall population of Finland......
 
Ok, ignore %ages. Sweden has recorded 5x the number of <80year old deaths compared to Finland, but only has twice the overall population of Finland......
When we say sub 80 year old.we need to be clear of the parameters, are we talking teenagers or knocking on 80.
 
If Sweden's no-lockdown policy has been a total failure and is to blame for their current 2nd-wave situation, what flattened the curve from the first wave? How did their daily deaths drop so low for several months that you could count them on one hand? Where did the virus go? With no masks worn, no pubs or restaurants closed, all schools remaining open throughout the pandemic, why did this supposed incredibly contagious virus not rampage through the country at a rate of knots with deaths rising exponentially?

1.5 million schoolkids going to school every day, mingling with other children, and then going home to spend hours indoors with their families, before going back to school the next day.

Stockholm has a population density near that of London, how did Covid not spread like wildfire throughout the city?

I asked these questions a while back (before the 2nd wave took hold) and the only answer offered was that it's because the Swede's are more sensible than the Brits (and most of Europe presumably) and adhered to social distancing better. Well I guess that theory is now not applicable - unless those very same Swedes suddenly became massively irresponsible and reckless after the summer 😀

Regarding comparing Sweden with it's geographical neighbours - it does make logical sense of course, but this virus has shown that it affects no two countries are the same and at the end of the day Norway and Finland have among the lowest Covid death rates in Europe (for whatever reason, they clearly avoided the early infiltration of the virus in Nov/Dec/Jan so have never really had a problem with it from day one - and it can't just be 'because they locked down', as so did almost every other country in Europe which are all now struggling with the 2nd wave big time), so the stats for nearly every country in this continent would look bad when compared to them, so it's a perhaps a bit unfair (and convenient to prove a point). At the end of the day, we don't compare the stats of other countries solely to their direct neighbours (imagine if we only ever compared England's stats to those of Wales and Scotland) so why do it for Sweden (apart from the obvious answer that it helps support the theory that Sweden has failed)?
 
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Regarding comparing Sweden with it's geographical neighbours - it does make logical sense of course, but this virus has shown that it affects no two countries are the same and at the end of the day Norway and Finland have among the lowest Covid death rates in Europe (for whatever reason, they clearly avoided the early infiltration of the virus in Nov/Dec/Jan so have never really had a problem with it from day one - and it can't just be 'because they locked down', as so did almost every other country in Europe which are all now struggling with the 2nd wave big time), so the stats for nearly every country in this continent would look bad when compared to them, so it's a perhaps a bit unfair (and convenient to prove a point). At the end of the day, we don't compare the stats of other countries solely to their direct neighbours (imagine if we only ever compared England's stats to those of Wales and Scotland) so why do it for Sweden (apart from the obvious answer that it helps support the theory that Sweden has failed)?
This. I'm not saying Sweden had it right or wrong, but you can't compare countries just because they're geographically close to each other.
 
If Sweden's no-lockdown policy has been a total failure and is to blame for their current 2nd-wave situation, what flattened the curve from the first wave? How did their daily deaths drop so low for several months that you could count them on one hand? Where did the virus go? With no masks worn, no pubs or restaurants closed, all schools remaining open throughout the pandemic, why did this supposed incredibly contagious virus not rampage through the country at a rate of knots with deaths rising exponentially?

1.5 million schoolkids going to school every day, mingling with other children, and then going home to spend hours indoors with their families, before going back to school the next day.

Stockholm has a population density near that of London, how did Covid not spread like wildfire throughout the city?

I asked these questions a while back (before the 2nd wave took hold) and the only answer offered was that it's because the Swede's are more sensible than the Brits (and most of Europe presumably) and adhered to social distancing better. Well I guess that theory is now not applicable - unless those very same Swedes suddenly became massively irresponsible and reckless after the summer 😀

Regarding comparing Sweden with it's geographical neighbours - it does make logical sense of course, but this virus has shown that it affects no two countries are the same and at the end of the day Norway and Finland have among the lowest Covid death rates in Europe (for whatever reason, they clearly avoided the early infiltration of the virus in Nov/Dec/Jan so have never really had a problem with it from day one - and it can't just be 'because they locked down', as so did almost every other country in Europe which are all now struggling with the 2nd wave big time), so the stats for nearly every country in this continent would look bad when compared to them, so it's a perhaps a bit unfair (and convenient to prove a point). At the end of the day, we don't compare the stats of other countries solely to their direct neighbours (imagine if we only ever compared England's stats to those of Wales and Scotland) so why do it for Sweden (apart from the obvious answer that it helps support the theory that Sweden has failed)?


all countries massively benefited from conditions in their warmer/summer months as the virus spreads most via closer contact in more confined spaces ie outside the October to March window for a lot of European countries. (it’s why other respiratory illnesses are higher and why flu jabs get administered in autumn/winter)

Why would that not apply to Sweden ?
 
The best comparison is still excess deaths in each country, we know Covid spreads very easily but it seems to mostly kill people who are already at risk due to other factors. Therefore we don't really know the difference between dying of Covid and dying with it.

Sweden's deaths may have been the same as every other year for all I know, but perhaps the percentage who'd tested positive for Covid in that time is much higher because they didn't lockdown.

If that's true it speaks volumes.
 
The best comparison is still excess deaths in each country, we know Covid spreads very easily but it seems to mostly kill people who are already at risk due to other factors. Therefore we don't really know the difference between dying of Covid and dying with it.

Sweden's deaths may have been the same as every other year for all I know, but perhaps the percentage who'd tested positive for Covid in that time is much higher because they didn't lockdown.


If that's true it speaks volumes.
Coronavirus: Swedish King Carl XVI Gustaf says coronavirus approach 'has failed' Coronavirus: Swedish King Carl XVI Gustaf says coronavirus approach 'has failed'
 
If Sweden's no-lockdown policy has been a total failure and is to blame for their current 2nd-wave situation, what flattened the curve from the first wave? How did their daily deaths drop so low for several months that you could count them on one hand? Where did the virus go? With no masks worn, no pubs or restaurants closed, all schools remaining open throughout the pandemic, why did this supposed incredibly contagious virus not rampage through the country at a rate of knots with deaths rising exponentially?

1.5 million schoolkids going to school every day, mingling with other children, and then going home to spend hours indoors with their families, before going back to school the next day.

Stockholm has a population density near that of London, how did Covid not spread like wildfire throughout the city?

I asked these questions a while back (before the 2nd wave took hold) and the only answer offered was that it's because the Swede's are more sensible than the Brits (and most of Europe presumably) and adhered to social distancing better. Well I guess that theory is now not applicable - unless those very same Swedes suddenly became massively irresponsible and reckless after the summer 😀

Regarding comparing Sweden with it's geographical neighbours - it does make logical sense of course, but this virus has shown that it affects no two countries are the same and at the end of the day Norway and Finland have among the lowest Covid death rates in Europe (for whatever reason, they clearly avoided the early infiltration of the virus in Nov/Dec/Jan so have never really had a problem with it from day one - and it can't just be 'because they locked down', as so did almost every other country in Europe which are all now struggling with the 2nd wave big time), so the stats for nearly every country in this continent would look bad when compared to them, so it's a perhaps a bit unfair (and convenient to prove a point). At the end of the day, we don't compare the stats of other countries solely to their direct neighbours (imagine if we only ever compared England's stats to those of Wales and Scotland) so why do it for Sweden (apart from the obvious answer that it helps support the theory that Sweden has failed)?
Great post - got most of the points I wanted to make in here in a very coherent way. 👍
Selective comparing of ’neighbours’ - where are all the other comparisons?
Seasonality - I predicted a winter spike in Sweden months ago in this thread - thus evidencing the futility of summer lock downs and the seasonality of the illness.
So was it the Swedes responsible nature that served them well in the summer as we were told on here? Why have they suddenly gone off the rails?

I’ll leave an olive branch of what could be considered a reasonable objective summary position for someone unconvinced and still in favour of lockdown/ mask strategies if anyone wants to bow out with grace...

’I still believe lockdowns etc. are the best option based on positive outcomes being more prevalent in countries that adopted them (be that causal or correlation), but Sweden certainly hasn't been the disaster that was predicted and provides a curve ball to the accepted narrative.’
 
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So instead of killing everyone off with their reckless 'no lockdown/no masks' approach, it seems that Sweden got it right after all.


Compare Sweden to its neighbours and see how badly it failed, or hang on the word of a right wing libertarian think tank whilst deluding yourself that you know what you’re talking about 🤷🏻‍♂️
 
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Compare Sweden to its neighbours and see how badly it failed, or hang on the word of a right wing libertarian think tank whilst deluding yourself that you know what you’re talking about 🤷🏻‍♂️

Sweden had the same issue we had with care homes. Take those numbers out and it's a different story

We'll never lockdown again because it's a terrible way to deal with a pandemic
So instead of killing everyone off with their reckless 'no lockdown/no masks' approach, it seems that Sweden got it right after all.

The lockdown zealots, the condemners, will be all over you for that

You cannot question lockdowns
 
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Take all deaths out of it and it’s a different story 🤷‍♂️What a pointless argument

“If you exclude deaths then you get no deaths”

Not at all

I realise going against lockdowns is heresy now but there are thousands of scientists and economists who believe it was a terrible response to this virus

Closing schools was criminal

Our mistakes will become apparent and we will not lockdown again
 

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