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Stocks n Shares ISA


Darlo1973 said:
For a couple of grand it's unlikely to make much difference especially if you include trading fees. Usually better just to ride the dip out and hope it doesn't last for long. People were panicking this time last year when Trump announced his tariffs but 2025 turned out to be a very good year. So far this year, the markets are only really back to where they were at the end of January.
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The problem is the potential for this to all go west very badly

US is barely coherent on many of the issues in Iran and the Persian Gulf.

Gulf States are desperate to maintain a veneer of normality despite planes landing and taking off during bombardments.

Iran are basically sticking two fingers up although EU is supposedly negotiating with them on the reopening of the straights.

Oil is still hovering around 100USD which is already decimal points off the global economy and a number of key commodoties are blockaded in the Gulf.

If either the US or Israeli terror state do anything else stupid we're as little as 6 weeks from a global recession.

It's your risk and you may fancy the optimistic route but from my perspective it's way past hedge time.
 
Darlo1973 said:
Big rises this morning!
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Yes. Luckily I took a risk a couple of weeks ago and bought a canny amount of the stock I had my eye on.
Long may the orange imbecile talk a load of shite about the war being almost won because they've rocketed today by a considerable amount.
archiesdad said:
1.4% up today, might go for a celebratory pint later 😀
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Mine's up over 11% in a fortnight. Let's see how long it lasts.
 
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cosmicchris00 said:
The problem is the potential for this to all go west very badly

US is barely coherent on many of the issues in Iran and the Persian Gulf.

Gulf States are desperate to maintain a veneer of normality despite planes landing and taking off during bombardments.

Iran are basically sticking two fingers up although EU is supposedly negotiating with them on the reopening of the straights.

Oil is still hovering around 100USD which is already decimal points off the global economy and a number of key commodoties are blockaded in the Gulf.

If either the US or Israeli terror state do anything else stupid we're as little as 6 weeks from a global recession.

It's your risk and you may fancy the optimistic route but from my perspective it's way past hedge time.
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Everyone is getting very excited about the oil price, but it is not that bad. It is not the highest it has ever been by some margin, even in nominal terms. In real terms, the price is relatively middling in the OPEC era.
 
stapler said:
Everyone is getting very excited about the oil price, but it is not that bad. It is not the highest it has ever been by some margin, even in nominal terms. In real terms, the price is relatively middling in the OPEC era.
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It's the shock that's the problem.

Everything has been priced at 'x' and then within the same period it's 1.5x.

If the situation in the gulf sours further we could be looking at 2x.

I'm all for a bit of optimism but you need to consider all eventualities.
 
cosmicchris00 said:
It's the shock that's the problem.

Everything has been priced at 'x' and then within the same period it's 1.5x.

If the situation in the gulf sours further we could be looking at 2x.

I'm all for a bit of optimism but you need to consider all eventualities.
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I know, but the present problem will be temporary. Either Hormuz will reopen or the oil will be re-routed. In the meantime, other oil producers will up production in response to higher prices.

People and systems adapt. It'll be fine. Unless you live in the warzone, of course.
bomber said:
Yet March saw it's biggest monthly gain EVER.🤔
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Right. What is the significance of that for long term prices? If we look at the futures prices (
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) it doesn't look like the markets are pricing in a particularly long term disruption.
 
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mini-x2 said:
Yes. Luckily I took a risk a couple of weeks ago and bought a canny amount of the stock I had my eye on.
Long may the orange imbecile talk a load of shite about the war being almost won because they've rocketed today by a considerable amount.

Mine's up over 11% in a fortnight. Let's see how long it lasts.
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Not very long it seems.....
 
stapler said:
I

Right. What is the significance of that for long term prices? If we look at the futures prices (
You must be logged on to see external links
) it doesn't look like the markets are pricing in a particularly long term disruption.
Click to expand...
😆😆 2037 $50 a barrel
 
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