PPG analysis so far and improvement needed.

[Zidane]

They say that you need 2 PPG to go up automatic but with the number of games played all over the place this is the current PPG table and selected final totals that matter to us on this path.

1) Doncaster 2.05
2) Lincoln 2.00 (= 92)
----‐----------------------------
3) Hull 1.92
4) Peterborough 1.79
5) Portsmouth 1.78
6) Accrington 1.76 (= 81)
---------------------------------
7) Sunderland 1.66 (= 76)
8) Oxford 1.61 (in form team with 7 straight wins and coming up fast)

Obviously, once you are past half way, suddenly hitting 2 PPG won't get you promoted as you also need to catch up the difference which is projected as 16 points but currently 8 points.

Anyway, despite all that, the improvement needed is quite straightforward. For automatic we need 93 points to overtake a projected Lincoln 92 who are bang on the 2 PPG.

93 - 40 = 53 points in 22 games = 2.4 PPG. To put into context, 53 points as an example is W17 D2 L3

Hope the maths checks out

 

[Steesafc]

Lets see what difference the signings make. Under Keano we got Jonny Evans and Carlos Edwards in the Jan and they made a big difference.

 

[Sea to Shining Sea]

Lets see what difference the signings make. Under Keano we got Jonny Evans and Carlos Edwards in the Jan and they made a big difference.

And Danny Simpson who was a very decent turn at RB too

 

[Vicham]

I pointed out the other day, that 80 points might be needed to even make the playoffs. Your numbers show the same. I think this season is very different than your average season, there is it a huge gap somewhere in the top.
It will be less than 10 teams fighting for top 6 and they will be very close.

 

[bedlington mackem]

They say that you need 2 PPG to go up automatic but with the number of games played all over the place this is the current PPG table and selected final totals that matter to us on this path.

1) Doncaster 2.05
2) Lincoln 2.00 (= 92)
----‐----------------------------
3) Hull 1.92
4) Peterborough 1.79
5) Portsmouth 1.78
6) Accrington 1.76 (= 81)
---------------------------------
7) Sunderland 1.66 (= 76)
8) Oxford 1.61 (in form team with 7 straight wins and coming up fast)

Obviously, once you are past half way, suddenly hitting 2 PPG won't get you promoted as you also need to catch up the difference which is projected as 16 points but currently 8 points.

Anyway, despite all that, the improvement needed is quite straightforward. For automatic we need 93 points to overtake a projected Lincoln 92 who are bang on the 2 PPG.

93 - 40 = 53 points in 22 games = 2.4 PPG. To put into context, 53 points as an example is W17 D2 L3

Hope the maths checks out

Good post and confirms really that we need to beat all those above us when we play them again to iimprove both our score and worsen theirs

 

[SPUFF]

I just cant see Lincoln lasting the pace. Saying that similar outfits have outperformed us for 3 year.

 

[Perryqhill]

And Danny Simpson who was a very decent turn at RB too

And Stern John who scored some important goals later on.

in fact we got half a team, though not all were regulars.

 

[Walmo]

I just cant see Lincoln lasting the pace. Saying that similar outfits have outperformed us for 3 year.

I remember people saying the same about Luton, then they just continued doing what they were doing.

 

[SPUFF]

I remember people saying the same about Luton, then they just continued doing what they were doing.

When you list the clubs whove gone up its fecking tragic, including a homeless Coventry.

 

[weebil64]

Win games, the only statistic that matters.

 

[rentaghost]

They say that you need 2 PPG to go up automatic but with the number of games played all over the place this is the current PPG table and selected final totals that matter to us on this path.

1) Doncaster 2.05
2) Lincoln 2.00 (= 92)
----‐----------------------------
3) Hull 1.92
4) Peterborough 1.79
5) Portsmouth 1.78
6) Accrington 1.76 (= 81)
---------------------------------
7) Sunderland 1.66 (= 76)
8) Oxford 1.61 (in form team with 7 straight wins and coming up fast)

Obviously, once you are past half way, suddenly hitting 2 PPG won't get you promoted as you also need to catch up the difference which is projected as 16 points but currently 8 points.

Anyway, despite all that, the improvement needed is quite straightforward. For automatic we need 93 points to overtake a projected Lincoln 92 who are bang on the 2 PPG.

93 - 40 = 53 points in 22 games = 2.4 PPG. To put into context, 53 points as an example is W17 D2 L3

Hope the maths checks out

At the time of Parkinsons sacking our PPG for the season was 1.77. Not that bad really within a point of 4th.

 

[Moderate Power]

They say that you need 2 PPG to go up automatic but with the number of games played all over the place this is the current PPG table and selected final totals that matter to us on this path.

1) Doncaster 2.05
2) Lincoln 2.00 (= 92)
----‐----------------------------
3) Hull 1.92
4) Peterborough 1.79
5) Portsmouth 1.78
6) Accrington 1.76 (= 81)
---------------------------------
7) Sunderland 1.66 (= 76)
8) Oxford 1.61 (in form team with 7 straight wins and coming up fast)

Obviously, once you are past half way, suddenly hitting 2 PPG won't get you promoted as you also need to catch up the difference which is projected as 16 points but currently 8 points.

Anyway, despite all that, the improvement needed is quite straightforward. For automatic we need 93 points to overtake a projected Lincoln 92 who are bang on the 2 PPG.

93 - 40 = 53 points in 22 games = 2.4 PPG. To put into context, 53 points as an example is W17 D2 L3

Hope the maths checks out

The 12 points achieved from 7 games in January is an improvement on the season so far and enough to sustain a play off place.

Sunderland will have to do a lot better to achieve an automatic spot.

 

[Grumpy Old Man]

I remember people saying the same about Luton, then they just continued doing what they were doing.

However, at a similar stage in 2018/19, we were second on over 2ppg, and Barnsley (who were promoted) were 6th with 1.74ppg. An awful lot can and will change before the end of the season, perhaps even more so with fixture congestion stretching the thinner squads.

 

[samaistonsrightfoot]

If you don't count all the games he hasn't won it's 3ppg. Guaranteed promotion form.

 

[Mboma]

I just don't see us getting into the automatic positions, unless these new signings make a huge difference or the sides at the top get injuries to key players and lose form.

Ultimately, its up to us tho and I barely see any improvement over the 3 seasons done here. We're still easily bullied and short on ideas when in possession. No creativity in midfield....the list goes on and these aren't new problems.

Our time down here has shown us what we really are, and thats a middle table League One side fighting for a play off place.

 

[Zidane]

Update on current projections.

1) Doncaster 2.09 (96pts)
2) Lincoln 2.04 (= 94)
----‐----------------------------

At present its 95 - 41 = 54 in 21 games.

E.g W17 D3 L1.

(Edit it doesn't account for how many times Doncaster and Lincoln have to play each other.)

Automatic is mathetmatical dreamworld at present.

 

[Walmo]

However, at a similar stage in 2018/19, we were second on over 2ppg, and Barnsley (who were promoted) were 6th with 1.74ppg. An awful lot can and will change before the end of the season, perhaps even more so with fixture congestion stretching the thinner squads.

We’re a million miles away from doing what would be required regardless of if those teams lost 4 in a row.

 

[Zidane]

Update. 1st and 2nd both dropped below 2ppg now.

1) Lincoln 1.96
2) Doncaster 1.92 (=88)
----‐----------------------------
3) Peterborough 1.88
4) Portsmouth 1.85
5) Hull 1.75
6) Accrington 1.68 (=77)
---------------------------------
7) Oxford 1.65 (won 11 in 14)
8) Sunderland 1.63 (=74/75)

 

[Moderate Power]

Update. 1st and 2nd both dropped below 2ppg now.

1) Lincoln 1.96
2) Doncaster 1.92 (=88)
----‐----------------------------
3) Peterborough 1.88
4) Portsmouth 1.85
5) Hull 1.75
6) Accrington 1.68 (=77)
---------------------------------
7) Oxford 1.65 (won 11 in 14)
8) Sunderland 1.63 (=74/75)

To put that into perspective.

From the remaining 19 games 48 points are required (out of 57) to get to the 2ppg that should guarantee automatic promotion.

Sunderland can afford only 4 games (maybe 5) whereby they do not take maximum points.

 

[Steve H]

To put that into perspective.

From the remaining 19 games 48 points are required (out of 57) to get to the 2ppg that should guarantee automatic promotion.

Sunderland can afford only 4 games whereby they do not take maximum points.

Obviously not possible