D
Deleted member 22162
Guest
Keeping the cases as low as possible through summer will mean we are lower down on the curve going into autumn and winter. Furthermore they want to keep hospital numbers down in the summer to try and catch up with the severe backlog of non-covid work.
It is not as simple as 'understanding the point at which we can live with this'. You cannot say right we are at '20,000 daily cases (for example) so we need to keep things a bit tighter. The rate of infections, hospitalisations and death on any given day is determined by the action taken or not taken several weeks previous.
In addition to this it is much much easier to control infections, hospitalisations and deaths whilst the rate of growth is low. This is especially true given that the delta variant has an r-value of around 6. If you have not read up on exponential growth this video explains it well.
I know what exponential growth is, ta. It’s possibly growing exponentially now in terms of cases (but relatively few are dying or even getting ill who are vaccinated - aware that will change if cases double, but you don’t know they will or won’t, nobody does). By your reckoning then, the government should have acted even sooner and stronger than extending today from 21 June for four more weeks. When were they supposed to act and what should it have looked like? Back into a lockdown situation / no socialising indoors several weeks ago?
Last edited by a moderator: