Locke's SAFC
Striker
The below figures pulled direct from ONS website.
What's most important is which age groups are being admitted into hospital, as it gives us an indication of whether or not they are likely to make it through and what that means for loss of life in the coming weeks.
As you can see, under 50s not a great deal of change over a 7 week period; over 50s is what is driving increased hospital admissions and you can only assume that there will be a higher proportion not making it through and the death toll increasing.
A few people have been posting models, and the assumptions underpinning these models are being proven to be wide of the mark. At least to date, anyway.
I'm aware that there are many people on here who just don't care and so this post isn't for them. It's for anyone that doesn't have a problem following what has been advised but isn't necessarily aware of the extent of the problem we currently face and may think again.
What's most important is which age groups are being admitted into hospital, as it gives us an indication of whether or not they are likely to make it through and what that means for loss of life in the coming weeks.
As you can see, under 50s not a great deal of change over a 7 week period; over 50s is what is driving increased hospital admissions and you can only assume that there will be a higher proportion not making it through and the death toll increasing.
A few people have been posting models, and the assumptions underpinning these models are being proven to be wide of the mark. At least to date, anyway.
I'm aware that there are many people on here who just don't care and so this post isn't for them. It's for anyone that doesn't have a problem following what has been advised but isn't necessarily aware of the extent of the problem we currently face and may think again.
Hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 (rates per 100,000 people) | ||||||||
Age \ Week ending | 18-Jul | 25-Jul | 01-Aug | 08-Aug | 15-Aug | 22-Aug | 29-Aug | 05-Sep |
0 to 4 | 3.04 | 3.92 | 3.27 | 3.97 | 3.86 | 3.61 | 4.19 | 3.85 |
5 to 14 | 1.11 | 0.81 | 1.09 | 0.90 | 1.19 | 1.28 | 0.95 | 1.17 |
15 to 24 | 4.53 | 5.29 | 4.63 | 4.72 | 4.18 | 4.14 | 3.61 | 2.93 |
25 to 44 | 7.24 | 8.40 | 7.74 | 6.62 | 6.46 | 6.51 | 6.10 | 5.42 |
45 to 54 | 5.71 | 7.03 | 7.02 | 6.12 | 6.20 | 6.17 | 6.65 | 6.02 |
55 to 64 | 5.95 | 7.92 | 8.37 | 6.34 | 7.37 | 9.12 | 8.42 | 8.63 |
65 to 74 | 6.70 | 8.38 | 8.50 | 9.21 | 9.15 | 11.39 | 10.68 | 11.56 |
75 to 84 | 11.50 | 13.96 | 14.70 | 16.29 | 19.29 | 22.51 | 21.29 | 22.05 |
85+ | 19.61 | 24.28 | 25.92 | 26.16 | 30.39 | 37.26 | 36.62 | 36.18 |