Has the pandemic been overblown?

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The Great MES said:
What about the theories that this is the second wave and loads of people have already had it without knowing?
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General population antibody tests suggest the % of the population who’ve had is in single figures - 7% at the end of May.

I’d be surprised if the figure now is any higher than 12%. In fact having actually looked it’s still estimated to be no higher than 8%.
 
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Frijj said:
As in how many people have it and are infectious? Low, probably around 1 in every 2,000.
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Decent odds that considering the awareness of the virus. That 1 person is likely isolating so your odds of meeting that person is higher. Spending 15 minutes with them, talking, face to face, even slimmer.
 
Frijj said:
General population antibody tests suggest the % of the population who’ve had is in single figures - 7% at the end of May.

I’d be surprised if the figure now is any higher than 12%. In fact having actually looked it’s still estimated to be no higher than 8%.
Click to expand...

If you exclude the people shielding, those WFH and those in low risk working groups who are not being exposed on a daily basis then that would mean the figure is actually higher in the population in which the virus is still circulating.
 
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