Expected Goals

[Laidback Jack]

Anyone know how that works?

 

[mackemdr]

Its -3 if you're from WAAALLLLLLSSSSSEEEENNNNDDDD

 

[King Kareoke]

We expect to score 1 every match

 

[viccarlton]

Anyone know how that works?

Ask the nuggets at Stockley Park.

 

[Medulla]

Aye, it's a measure of chance quality based on historical data.

 

[TravellingMackem]

Yes, it’s quite simple. Opta analyses all shots taken from all locations and assigns each shot a likelihood of scoring. The final expected goal value is a sum of the likelihood’s of the individual shots in a game

 

[samaistonsrightfoot]

Yes, it’s quite simple. Opta analyses all shots taken from all locations and assigns each shot a likelihood of scoring. The final expected goal value is a sum of the likelihood’s of the individual shots in a game

This. Its how many goals they expect to be scored based on the chances created.

 

[Royal_blue_90]

I think it’s like 10% of the total shots had

 

[Frankel]

It’s a load of geeks.

Every game is different.

Expected goals ffs.

 

[Mansfield Mackem]

And they never get it right

 

[Thurston]

Anyone know how that works?

Another useless probability metric.

It makes Google’s win probability bar for the cricket, which shifts back and forward by a percentage after each and every over look like a beacon of empirical certainty.

 

[Reiver]

Aye, it's a measure of chance quality based on historical data.

What a time to be alive ...

... the excitement just never stops

 

[Dave Hosselhaff]

In a robot voice

"Do we have more expected goals than them?"

"Wait I'm recharging"

 

[TopCat]

Anyone know how that works?

Will Grigg - XG - 0

 

[gipetto]

Someone's bang into it on here.