Looks like it’s getting to crunch time for Putin. They apparently finally have all the pawns in place to invade. Not just the military equipment, but logistics, support, national guard, ships positioned etc… They are currently flying in troops which is the final piece.
A few intelligence experts reckon if he is going to do it it will be between the 20th Feb and early March.
There are a number of things either coincidentally or otherwise finishing on the 19th. Their exercises in Belarus, the Black Sea and the Winter Olympics too.
After that he has to make a decision as apparently he can’t keep 120,000 troops stationed away from bases for long and any later the ground will thaw and make it far harder to invade. Tanks are fine but apparently moving infantry, support vehicles and national guard to take and hold territory in rural East Ukraine will be a nightmare when it gets warmer and the ice turns to mud and water.
So one way or the other it should play out in the next few weeks