27th January Stats

[The Lambton Worm]

From 31 January 2022, UKHSA will move all COVID-19 case reporting in England to use a new episode-based definition which includes possible reinfections. On the dashboard, this means:

• cases in England by report date will change to the new definition of an episode of infection
• historical numbers by report date will not be revised, so there will be a step increase in the cumulative numbers of cases on that date
• specimen date metrics will be revised back to the beginning of the pandemic.
• the same metric names will still be used
• new metrics will show first episodes of infection (equivalent to the current case definition) and episodes of reinfection, shown by specimen date only.

UKHSA is working with the devolved administrations to align definitions across the UK.

Figures reported on a Monday by Wales are for a 48h period. This is reflected in the UK total.

Hospital data for ST&S is updated weekly on a Thursday.

* Data not updated from previous day.

+/- compared to one week ago.

Percentages in [] = total percentage of people aged 12+ who have received a COVID-19 vaccination.

Figures in () for doses = daily total.

365 cases in Sunderland. -140
0 deaths in Sunderland. -2
17 patients admitted to hospital in South Tyneside & Sunderland. -4
196 patients in hospital in South Tyneside & Sunderland. -4
6 patients on ventilation in South Tyneside & Sunderland. +1

3,860 cases in the NE. -1,377
18 deaths in the NE. 0
319 patients admitted to hospital in the NE & Yorks. -83
2,430 patients in hospital in the NE & Yorks. -366
60 patients on ventilation in the NE & Yorks. -28

96,871 cases in the UK. -10,493
338 deaths in the UK. +8
1,651 patients admitted to hospital in the UK. -254
16,510 patients in hospital in the UK. -1,984
561 patients on ventilation in the UK. -114

1,446,064 tests conducted. Last week: 1,539,546
England 7 day test positivity rate as of 21/01/22 = 16.9% -4.1

Sunderland 7 day rolling average:
916.6 cases per 100,000 using backdated data. -382.3
1,013.8 cases per 100,000 using daily data. -410.3

948.5 cases per 100,000 for the UK using daily data. -21.5

217,278 [84.9%] (15) people have received 1st dose of vaccination in Sunderland. +201
203,191 [79.4%] (39) people have received 2nd dose of vaccination in Sunderland. +541
156,400 [61.1%] (126) people have received 3rd/booster dose of vaccination in Sunderland. +945

2,073,442 [84.2%] (551) people have received 1st dose of vaccination in the NE. +3,075
1,932,231 [78.5%] (941) people have received 2nd dose of vaccination in the NE. +7,411
1,507,223 [61.2%] (1,901) people have received 3rd/booster dose of vaccination in the NE. +12,964

52,281,873 [90.9%] (15,358) people have received 1st dose of vaccination in the UK. +113,281
48,284,685 [84.0%] (30,919) people have received 2nd dose of vaccination in the UK. +235,723
37,104,942 [64.5%] (54,464) people have received 3rd/booster dose of vaccination in the UK. +416,501

 

[Lumber]

Greens

 

[Hettonlass]

2 reds

 

[Gelan]

All greens tomorrow please.

 

[Botchie]

52% of those in hospital are being treated primarily for something else other than COVID.

 

[Billericay Dichio]

52% of those in hospital are being treated primarily for something else other than COVID.

That's really good news isn't it!

 

[faith brothers]

As the song goes Pretty Green.

 

[Botchie]

That's really good news isn't it!

Mainly I suppose. However, it depends on what they're being treated for I suppose. If it's someone with a heart or lung condition then I guess it's pretty dangerous. The good news is they aren't treating everyone primarily for COVID and having to treat others on top of that. I've said all the way through the figures never give enough context though. I think the fact we haven’t gone hard with restrictions during omicron suggests the context behind them hasn't been as scary as a year ago.

 

[Billericay Dichio]

Mainly I suppose. However, it depends on what they're being treated for I suppose. If it's someone with a heart or lung condition then I guess it's pretty dangerous. The good news is they aren't treating everyone primarily for COVID and having to treat others on top of that. I've said all the way through the figures never give enough context though. I think the fact we haven’t gone hard with restrictions during omicron suggests the context behind them hasn't been as scary as a year ago.

Or vaccinations are working and the NHS is getting back to treating other sick people?

 

[RichB]

Mainly I suppose. However, it depends on what they're being treated for I suppose. If it's someone with a heart or lung condition then I guess it's pretty dangerous. The good news is they aren't treating everyone primarily for COVID and having to treat others on top of that. I've said all the way through the figures never give enough context though. I think the fact we haven’t gone hard with restrictions during omicron suggests the context behind them hasn't been as scary as a year ago.

Its getting almost impossible to draw conclusions from the daily stats now

I get daily info from our local hospital on admissions and bed status and Covid patients in the past two weeks have gone from 11 to 58 and have now peaked
The ventilated numbers went from 4 up to 6 at the peak and now 7 with the lag so the numbers with a positive test who are really sick isnt going up like previous waves
The issue is a lot of routine stuff has been cancelled with the beds issue so its not great but pre-Omicorn and pre- vaccine it would have been a disaster

The testing here is nowhere near UK levels and they have virtually stopped other than in healthcare workers, the CEV patients and admissions so case numbers here are worthless now

 

[Gazoliver]

Should hit 91% at least 1 vax over the weekend

 

[Billy2Sheds]

That's really good news isn't it!

No but it’s context mate. Do we start announcing daily death figures with a breakdown for all causes?

Wouldn’t bother me personally but there’s still a lot of people whose risk appetite is wholly unconnected to reality or based in fact.

Mainly I suppose. However, it depends on what they're being treated for I suppose. If it's someone with a heart or lung condition then I guess it's pretty dangerous. The good news is they aren't treating everyone primarily for COVID and having to treat others on top of that. I've said all the way through the figures never give enough context though. I think the fact we haven’t gone hard with restrictions during omicron suggests the context behind them hasn't been as scary as a year ago.

And this

 

[rudd]

No but it’s context mate. Do we start announcing daily death figures with a breakdown for all causes?

Wouldn’t bother me personally but there’s still a lot of people whose risk appetite is wholly unconnected to reality or based in fact.


And this

Nah, we should be thinking about getting rid of reporting daily deaths this way and going to weekly reporting from death certificates when they're available imo.

Deaths within 28 days were a quick and easy way to get a snapshot but there's an increasing disconnect between 28 days and what actually recorded on death certificates.

 

[chrismisterx]

Nah, we should be thinking about getting rid of reporting daily deaths this way and going to weekly reporting from death certificates when they're available imo.

Deaths within 28 days were a quick and easy way to get a snapshot but there's an increasing disconnect between 28 days and what actually recorded on death certificates.

I think phase them out in the spring, I could happily get rid now, but i think for context as we see the rest of the world catch up with omicron it will be helpful to keep around, to help reinforce that we are on top of this now and the world is following in our foot steps, next few months and I would hazard a guess the world wide figures will all be much much better.

 

[Frijj]

52% of those in hospital are being treated primarily for something else other than COVID.

An important point on this. Just because the primary diagnosis code isn’t COVID, doesn’t mean that COVID isn’t a substantial factor in this persons admission, or a complicating factor for the hospital.

People seem to be of the belief that “not primarily” means “they just happen to have COVID”.

 

[chrismisterx]

An important point on this. Just because the primary diagnosis code isn’t COVID, doesn’t mean that COVID isn’t a substantial factor in this persons admission, or a complicating factor for the hospital.

People seem to be of the belief that “not primarily” means “they just happen to have COVID”.

but that works both ways, not every death after testing positive within 28 days would have been caused by covid either.

The fact is the stats now I feel are starting to do more harm than good, its confusing and most of us really dont understand the raw data.

its interesting the number one underlaying cause which was reported with covid deaths was diabetes, i hope that focuses the mind and we get some good health interventions that this terrible disease needs tackled the fact its mostly self inflected is also shocking, its a massive world wide killer that just doesn't get the focus it needs, i have wondered how many lives were lost due to our nation being so unhealthy that was lost for no real need at all.

 

[Frijj]

but that works both ways, not every death after testing positive within 28 days would have been caused by covid either.

The fact is the stats now I feel are starting to do more harm than good, its confusing and most of us really dont understand the raw data.

its interesting the number one underlaying cause which was reported with covid deaths was diabetes, i hope that focuses the mind and we get some good health interventions that this terrible disease needs tackled the fact its mostly self inflected is also shocking, its a massive world wide killer that just doesn't get the focus it needs, i have wondered how many lives were lost due to our nation being so unhealthy that was lost for no real need at all.

Whilst that is true, there is a more robust deaths figure that is worse than the deaths within 28 days metric. We have more death certificates in which COVID has been implicated in the death, than people who've died within 28 days of testing positive.

So whilst yes, on a methodological basis, you can argue that "not primarily" is flawed in a similar way to "died within 28 days" but we know that the death toll in terms of the count of certificates far outstrips the 28-day metric.

Yes unfortunately our poor underlying health as a nation played a significant part in the number of deaths and hospitalisations. I absolutely agree that we do not have a resilient, healthy population. Not at all.

 

[Gelan]

but that works both ways, not every death after testing positive within 28 days would have been caused by covid either.

The fact is the stats now I feel are starting to do more harm than good, its confusing and most of us really dont understand the raw data.

its interesting the number one underlaying cause which was reported with covid deaths was diabetes, i hope that focuses the mind and we get some good health interventions that this terrible disease needs tackled the fact its mostly self inflected is also shocking, its a massive world wide killer that just doesn't get the focus it needs, i have wondered how many lives were lost due to our nation being so unhealthy that was lost for no real need at all.

I'll have an early guess at half.

 

[chrismisterx]

Whilst that is true, there is a more robust deaths figure that is worse than the deaths within 28 days metric. We have more death certificates in which COVID has been implicated in the death, than people who've died within 28 days of testing positive.

So whilst yes, on a methodological basis, you can argue that "not primarily" is flawed in a similar way to "died within 28 days" but we know that the death toll in terms of the count of certificates far outstrips the 28-day metric.

Yes unfortunately our poor underlying health as a nation played a significant part in the number of deaths and hospitalisations. I absolutely agree that we do not have a resilient, healthy population. Not at all.

agree with everything said, my main point of concern atm is how these stats have been spun depending on your point of view. Some media outlets have been terrible all through out this time.

But to my untrained eye there is some simple things which just cant be avoided and surely if you have an ounce of common sense you have to admit ( using you to define us all as a population and not to describe yourself )

The hospitals struggled to cope because of covid, not just because of covid itself but the problems caused with extra PPE being needed, the fact you had to keep covid people away from none covid, that point hasn't been stressed enough, the simple fact of having different wards had to be a logistic nightmare.

We need a quick and easy way to describe to the public how serious this pandemic was, the daily figures worked very well for this and helped drive the public to take care and get a jab, but like I said above starting to feel the tool is doing more harm than good now. These quick and dirty figures couldn't really show the true ins and outs, not many people die of just one cause as i understand it, it tends to be cause and effect, serious lung infection can cause the patient to die of multiple reasons, maybe heart failure brought on by the stress of the lung infection, so its as you rightly say all linked, i dont work in the field to know how its recorded, but a look throughout history shows a lot of deaths caused by AIDS was missed as the secondary cause the reason for death was recorded but the underlaying cause the fact the person had aids was missed, so pneumonia and such like ended up on some death reports and AIDS wasn't mentioned, read a few accounts that many more people died with / of AIDS early days as Doctors didn't just know.

I think there's a lot of confusion around with Covid down the same lines, if you die f a heart attack, that heart attack could have been caused by covid and the person could have been fine if they didn't have covid, lots of ifs and maybes but I think most people understand that its all link and its a tiny amount of people who are in the covid figures who shouldn't be, just by the way it works, i think I read the health bodies think its around 5-6% non covid deaths thats been counted.

Its an interesting subject and i have learnt so much more about human nature and perceived dangers and how we react, take the 4 big killers in this country year on year out people just dont worry about them until it hits home, even flu never known a single person worry about the dangers, but have a death count and ram it home daily and the mental change is quite something, which brings me to the next point, the next big drain on the NHS imo is going to be in the mental health of the staff, for 2 years these staff members have been on the front line working flat out, when it goes quiet I feel we will see a crash and end up with staff suffering from a PTSD effect, I dont trust our Government to have in place protection for that.

vaccines have had an overwhelming positive effect, even an untrained eye like myself can see the drop between deaths and vaccines is linked, hard lock down also have a massive protection value before the vaccines kicked in, cant understand how people can even debate this. I also have believed since mid December that we are entering the end of the pandemic and moving towards endemic, its what the experts hoped for, large scale vaccine up take and a weaker variant, we have both now and think its only a mater of time before the rest of the world catch up.

Sorry for the scatter gun ramblings but I do find the subject interesting and as a non educated person ( no degrees or such like here ), have learnt so much and went out and sourced information the best I can, its the one good thing to come out the pandemic for me, a better understanding of a lot of different subjects in this field.

 

[FootballFan]

An important point on this. Just because the primary diagnosis code isn’t COVID, doesn’t mean that COVID isn’t a substantial factor in this persons admission, or a complicating factor for the hospital.

People seem to be of the belief that “not primarily” means “they just happen to have COVID”.

Yep. Good point, having Covid will not help a lot with other conditions that would have survived.