And the numbers are in.....
- 6 teams have been bottom after 13 and survived (Everton - 94/95; Shef Wed 97/98; Soton - 98/99; Palace - 13/14, Palace - 17/18);
- BUT No teams has ever survived with just having 6 points;
- ONLY 2 teams have survived with a gap from 4th bottom of 5 or 6 points (6 - Palace - in 2013/14; 5 - Soton in 1998.98). The gap with Leeds is currently 5 with Leeds in play. Of the above teams the gap was 3, 3, 5, 2, 6, 3;
Mags need to break all kinds of records to come back from this.
Out of interest, all time Prem 4th bottom:
Average = 38.46
Max = 44.33 (actually Oldham had 49 over 42 games and deducted 1.17 ppg). Max in 20 team season is 44 - WBA in 02/03
Min = 34
Last 5 years = 37.2
Interestingly in the last 29 seasons when the gap has been 6 points after 13 games, the final 4th bottom points tally has been 36 twice (once also in the 22 club season also with pro-rata points of 38.33).
9 wins and 3 draws (or 8 wins and 6 draws or 7 wins and 9 draws ) from the remaining 24 will give them 36 points overall which would be enough to keep them up in 4 of the last 29 seasons.
#poeticjustice.