RedAndWhiteJeff
Midfield
Been a keenBeen a keen statistician, im sure that you are aware, most re-openings are going to appear safe at first. X amounts of cases with only x amount of hospitalisation and deaths. The problem is, as past data has shown, it is the younger people who are more socially active and the workers who tend to be younger and healthier(and more importantly more asymptomatic) who get it first.
Their data wont be a fair reflection of the whole position, and that will be the majority of the early data. It is what happens after the virus has spread through the age brackets (which it always does) which will define a safe opening. I dont think that that data is available for comparative countries yet.
I think the cautious approach is the correct one until we can be certain. not to mention the potential for a mutation that causes problem. slowly slowly as we jab away is best in my opinion.