Playoff Chances - 35%


In a scenario where we win so only based on other games I guess it goes up to around 70%.
If we win and Coventry can lose by scoring 1 but conceding more than 1 then they will have a goals for/against ratio of 1 and this will affect their goals for and against meaning they would need to score two more to make it back to even. Millwall on the other hand need to win by 1 clear goal.
 
but you need to win - we will probably be able to lose and still be ok

somebody just put up on the cov site

Blackburn have lost 1 of their last 14 v millwall
Sunderland have not won in their last 7 v preston
Pretty irrelevant that though tbf as we've only played them once in about 5 year. Totally different squad, different owners, different manager, different tactics etc etc
 
but you need to win - we will probably be able to lose and still be ok

somebody just put up on the cov site

Blackburn have lost 1 of their last 14 v millwall
Sunderland have not won in their last 7 v preston
Never get theses stats, and ironically think they prove the opposite. Given the teams involved in each game are likely entirely different, you’d think they would eventually even themselves out.

Not sure this current set of players have a weird Deepdale hoodoo
 
I keep saying it but i can't see Cov getting a result or draw at Boro
They’ll beat them. Boro just lost to Rotherham. Eyes are on the play offs
but you need to win - we will probably be able to lose and still be ok

somebody just put up on the cov site

Blackburn have lost 1 of their last 14 v millwall
Sunderland have not won in their last 7 v preston
I’d say the % stats are about right. You need quite a few results to go against you to drop out. Don’t think it’ll happen.

Ours is about right because not only do we need to win ourselves but also hope something else happens for us in another game.
 
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They’ll beat them. Boro just lost to Rotherham. Eyes are on the play offs

I’d say the % stats are about right. You need quite a few results to go against you to drop out. Don’t think it’ll happen.

Ours is about right because not only do we need to win ourselves but also hope something else happens for us in another game.
Boro know they will more than likely be facing Cov in play offs, so will want to lay a 'marker' down amd not go into it with another defeat.
 
Think we will fall short and draw at Preston, but what a season regardless imagine we had coventrys striker fit all season or any half decent striker, play offs would already have been confirmed. For me Cov and Millwall get in
 
Genuinely the way things have fallen for us against the odds all season, results have been going perfectly for us for weeks, can’t see us not making it.
 
I don’t think percentages come into it at all as absolutely anything can happen.

Such as an elephant nodding in the winner for Coventry in the 138th minute?

35% sounds about right to me. There are three results out of six that would benefit us, so 50/50, and then we have to win our own match.

The whole point of the OP is what are our chances, and a 1 in 3 chance isn't far off. it does mean something, that's why we have bookies and the like.
 
so we have lost around 1 in 16
Millwall have won 2 in 8
you have won 3 in 9

love your optimism though
Stats can prove anything marra. You’re in the box seat for sure. However, over the past 10 games we’ve both won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1. And over the past 6 games we’ve both won 3 and drawn 3. So form is in fact similar, no? Then consider that our away record is better than yours (4 v 8) and Boro’s home record is considerably better than Preston’s (3 v 17). Suddenly the stats aren’t on your side so much are they?
I still think that you’ll get the point that you need mind, and that we’re relying on Millwall coming unstuck.
 

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