Playoff Chances - 35%


Why did you include how many you have lost but we and Millwall have won?

If we are going back 9 games (for whatever reason you picked that), you have won 4, us 3 and Millwall 3.

You're not exactly Man City in that respect, are you?
because we only need to avoid defeat , you and millwall need to win to overtake us -
 
I don’t think percentages come into it at all as absolutely anything can happen.
Percentages are based on mathematical probabilities so they do come into it, like 😉.
I'd have taken that at many points during the season (even last six weeks), including half way through second half on Saturday :lol:
I'd have taken that on 88 minutes on Saturday!🤣
 
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It still means nothing. Why pick 16, 9 and 8 games respectively?
Coventry have recently beaten QPR 3-0 away, drawn 2-2 with Watford at home and been battered at home by Stoke. Very similar to ourselves.

Don't think it matters how many games you go back - choose 5 for all the games and it makes his argument arguably stronger as Coventry haven't lost in their last 5.

Go back 15 games for all teams, and ourselves and Millwall have still only won a third of our games each.

He's just proving a point that it's very unlikely that Coventry will fall out the play-offs based on the runs all the teams are on, and the results the three teams would require in order for it to happen.
 
Its fantastic that we can actually discuss being in with a chance. The old me would have written it off, but this new refreshing situation within our beloved club is one of great belief and pleasure.
 
Its fantastic that we can actually discuss being in with a chance. The old me would have written it off, but this new refreshing situation within our beloved club is one of great belief and pleasure.
same for us 3 years ago we were a league 1 fixture
with luton 5 years ago we were a league 2 fixture
and you have norwich / watford etc totally pissing their Parachute payment up the wall

see you at wembley :)
 
Yes, but the %'s have to take account of the probability we might not win. Which everyone on here is taken as a given.

I mean, me included - I fancy us... But we are definitely focusing on the other games more in our expectations.

The percentages also have to take into account that one side in the Boro-Coventry match has much more at stake than the other and the one with little riding on this match has been in poor form recently.

And I guess people on here assuming that we win is pretty obvious, because if we don't nothing else matters to us. I think one reason people tend to assume that is the same factors at play in Boro-Coventry: poor recent form for Preston and little to play for.
 
The percentages also have to take into account that one side in the Boro-Coventry match has much more at stake than the other and the one with little riding on this match has been in poor form recently.

And I guess people on here assuming that we win is pretty obvious, because if we don't nothing else matters to us. I think one reason people tend to assume that is the same factors at play in Boro-Coventry: poor recent form for Preston and little to play for.

Watford had nothing to play for on Saturday and look where that got us. You can't read too much into motivations like that, you don't just win automatically because you have something to play for.

We've won 10 out of 22 away games so far this season, so we are starting off with a less than 50% probability of even being able to do our part, then other results have to go our way on top of that.

35% is about right I would say.
 
We were cheated out of a point when we played you.
let me guess- we delayed the kick off ? we have been cheated out of many, and also got lucky a few times, just like all teams
we only see it from our own side I guess

A stone wall penalty turned down against Watford - which would have seen us there already 4 games back
our keeper scoring a disputed 95th minute goal (maybe handball) which without that Blackburn would be miles ahead of us

Much rather that than VAR though
 
Yes, but the %'s have to take account of the probability we might not win. Which everyone on here is taken as a given.

I mean, me included - I fancy us... But we are definitely focusing on the other games more in our expectations.
Not really, people are concentrating on other results as us winning alone is no good.
 
I don’t think percentages come into it at all as absolutely anything can happen.
Therefore doesn’t percentages define it better than anything else?
Yes, but the %'s have to take account of the probability we might not win. Which everyone on here is taken as a given.

I mean, me included - I fancy us... But we are definitely focusing on the other games more in our expectations.
I’m kind of the opposite. I think it’s reasonably likely that one of the two won’t win given they both have tough games, so I think it’s all on us going away and winning, potentially by a few to stop a late WBA GD charge. If we win, I’m confident the door will open for us.
 
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