Coronavirus outbreak in Italy

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The Beautiful Game said:
Need one a bit more dangerous than this.
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Nah you need a surprisingly tiny mortality rate with a decent infection rate before secondary causes outstrip the damage of the actual disease. In the short term if you hit 5-6% with a high enough infection rate you are going to see people not go to work, shops shut, bodies waiting to be burned, that will kill off a few more people and the problem cycles again.

Long term if the disease continues cycling around the planet, mutating like a normal cold virus as it goes then the main damage will be economic - you can already see the market effect this morning. Economic collapse would kill the race way more efficiently than some wee disease.
 


MattyM 09/109 said:
Nah you need a surprisingly tiny mortality rate with a decent infection rate before secondary causes outstrip the damage of the actual disease. In the short term if you hit 5-6% with a high enough infection rate you are going to see people not go to work, shops shut, bodies waiting to be burned, that will kill off a few more people and the problem cycles again.

Long term if the disease continues cycling around the planet, mutating like a normal cold virus as it goes then the main damage will be economic - you can already see the market effect this morning. Economic collapse would kill the race way more efficiently than some wee disease.
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Economic collapse? Ffs man. Media have done a proper job on this.
 
MattyM 09/109 said:
Nah you need a surprisingly tiny mortality rate with a decent infection rate before secondary causes outstrip the damage of the actual disease. In the short term if you hit 5-6% with a high enough infection rate you are going to see people not go to work, shops shut, bodies waiting to be burned, that will kill off a few more people and the problem cycles again.

Long term if the disease continues cycling around the planet, mutating like a normal cold virus as it goes then the main damage will be economic - you can already see the market effect this morning. Economic collapse would kill the race way more efficiently than some wee disease.
Click to expand...

I posted yesterday on the other thread about this but the CDC is citing 3.3% global mortality (across most age ranges) with the statistic now indicating upwards to 9%.
We are now rapidly approaching the phase where testing in some countries, even if it didn't really begin, will cease.
 
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When they're saying 'self-isolate' instead of that bit in Monsters Inc where someone has a sock on them, I'm not so worried.
 

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