15th September Stats

The Lambton Worm

The Lambton Worm

Striker
On Thursday 16 September, case rates per 100,000 people for MSOAs in England and admission rates per 100,000 people for NHS regions in England will be updated to use the mid-2020 population estimates.

Figures reported on a Monday by Wales are for a 48h period. This is reflected in the UK total.

Hospital data for ST&S is updated weekly on a Thursday.

* Data not updated from previous day.

+/- compared to one week ago.

Percentages in [] = total percentage of people aged 16+ who have received a COVID-19 vaccination.

Figures in () for doses = daily total.

99 cases in Sunderland. -62
0 deaths in Sunderland. -1
11 patients admitted to hospital in South Tyneside & Sunderland. +4
82 patients in hospital in South Tyneside & Sunderland. -3
8 patients on ventilation in South Tyneside & Sunderland. +3

1,247 cases in the NE. -292
17 deaths in the NE. +7
162 patients admitted to hospital in the NE & Yorks. +5
1,279 patients in hospital in the NE & Yorks. +90
176 patients on ventilation in the NE & Yorks. +20

30,597 cases in the UK. -8,378
201 deaths in the UK. +10
836 patients admitted to hospital in the UK. -97
8,340 patients in hospital in the UK. +433
1,060 patients on ventilation in the UK. +13

882,827 tests conducted. Last week: 1,169,945

England 7 day test positivity rate as of 09/09/21 = 7.8% 0.1

Sunderland 7 day rolling average:
264.8 cases per 100,000 using backdated data. -104.8
325.3 cases per 100,000 using daily data. -100.8

331.5 cases per 100,000 for the UK using daily data. -74.6

204,961 [84.3%] (44) people have received 1st dose of vaccination in Sunderland. +449
188,344 [77.5%] (251) people have received 2nd dose of vaccination in Sunderland. +2,562

1,947,267 [83.3%] (444) people have received 1st dose of vaccination in the NE. +4,310
1,782,281 [76.2%] (2,641) people have received 2nd dose of vaccination in the NE. +25,242

48,480,178 [89.2%] (21,478) people have received 1st dose of vaccination in the UK. +160,743
44,170,373 [81.3%] (61,627) people have received 2nd dose of vaccination in the UK. +549,427
 


Admissions will probably increase over the next week and then hopefully begin to fall. Overall picture looking promising.
 
DoctorMick said:
Why would you expect admissions to rise? They seem to be on a slight downward trend at the minute.
Click to expand...

Sage says they could.
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said its modelling suggested hospitalisations could reach 2,000 to 7,000 per day next month.

I really love the government advisors, they’re a really special bunch.
 
joemcdokes said:
Sage says they could.
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said its modelling suggested hospitalisations could reach 2,000 to 7,000 per day next month.

I really love the government advisors, they’re a really special bunch.
Click to expand...
7k would be 3k more than at the height of the previous peak!
 
joemcdokes said:
Sage says they could.
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said its modelling suggested hospitalisations could reach 2,000 to 7,000 per day next month.

I really love the government advisors, they’re a really special bunch.
Click to expand...
They didn't say that, they said next few months. They also said it is likely to between hundreds and up to 8000, but the likelihood of the higher figure is highly unlikely and an extreme trajectory.
 
joemcdokes said:
I suppose they’re covering all bases, not great this modelling malarkey.
It’s quite comical really.
Click to expand...

They were right this time last year. Cases were much lower then they are now and they were calling for a lockdown that was widely ridiculed as there were barely a thousand cases a day.

Within weeks it had ran wild and Christmas was cancelled and within 2 to 3 months we were over 1000 deaths a day.

Vaccines should stop that this time but we shouldn’t forget how quickly it changed last time they predicted it would.

The vaccines should save us but lots of evidence, even new stuff coming out of Israel today, showing their effectiveness is wearing off massively after 6 months. Which unfortunately impacts our most vulnerable as they were jabbed first. Need to get the boosters out.

www.bbc.co.uk

Covid: Sage scientists called for short lockdown weeks ago

The government took "robust action" at the time, such as the rule of six, a cabinet minister says.
www.bbc.co.uk
 
Last edited:
MonkeyLove said:
They were right this time last year. Cases were much lower then they are now and they were calling for a lockdown that was widely ridiculed as there were barely a thousand cases a day.

Within weeks it had ran wild and Christmas was cancelled and within 2 to 3 months we were over 1000 deaths a day.

Vaccines should stop this last time but we shouldn’t forget how quickly it changed last time they predicted it would.

The vaccines should save us but lots of evidence, even new stuff coming out of Israel today, showing their effectiveness is wearing off massively after 6 months. Which unfortunately impacts our most vulnerable as they were jabbed first. Need to get the boosters out.

www.bbc.co.uk

Covid: Sage scientists called for short lockdown weeks ago

The government took "robust action" at the time, such as the rule of six, a cabinet minister says.
www.bbc.co.uk
Click to expand...

Oh you mean where they shut the pubs because they said cases were going to rise to 50,000 then when the pubs had been shut for quite some time cases reached over 60,000 a day.
Then the day after Boris said he had no doubt in his mind that schools were safe that they shut them.

I went on holiday abroad on a day 400 people died, I suppose none of that had anything to do with Whitty, Vallance and the others.
 
joemcdokes said:
Oh you mean where they shut the pubs because they said cases were going to rise to 50,000 then when the pubs had been shut for quite some time cases reached over 60,000 a day.
Then the day after Boris said he had no doubt in his mind that schools were safe that they shut them.

I went on holiday abroad on a day 400 people died, I suppose none of that had anything to do with Whitty, Vallance and the others.
Click to expand...

So actually your suggesting their modelling last time was too positive where as now your claiming they are being too pessimistic?

Directionally they were right last time
 

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