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    Old 30th June 2011, 12:16 PM   #1
    flusheding
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    Default Man Utd into the semis of champions league?

    How certain do you reckon it is that Man Utd can get into the semis?

    https://www.unibet.co.uk/betting/gri...Ids=1001010278

    they have odds of 2.40 for it.

    Seems pretty likely imo. They made it in 07-08, 08-09, 09-10 (lost on away goals to Bayer and just missed out) 10-11

    Seems like a canny return for something I'd say is about 70% likely
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    Old 30th June 2011, 01:00 PM   #2
    Mackem00
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    Default Re: Man Utd into the semis of champions league?

    Depends how the draw gans.
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    Old 30th June 2011, 01:09 PM   #3
    LouCarpenter With A Shave
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    Default Re: Man Utd into the semis of champions league?

    probably about a 7/5 chance mate.
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    Old 30th June 2011, 01:16 PM   #4
    AC Mack
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    Default Re: Man Utd into the semis of champions league?

    The odds are 7/5. That gives them a 71.4% chance of progression, you say they're 70% likely to make it, ergo in your mind the odds should be about right.
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    Old 30th June 2011, 01:38 PM   #5
    Occam's Razor
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    Default Re: Man Utd into the semis of champions league?

    Odds of 7/5 (2.40) are equivalent to 41.67%.

    71.42% would be odds of 2/5 (1.40).
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    Old 30th June 2011, 02:20 PM   #6
    flusheding
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    Default Re: Man Utd into the semis of champions league?

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by AC Mack View Post
    The odds are 7/5. That gives them a 71.4% chance of progression, you say they're 70% likely to make it, ergo in your mind the odds should be about right.
    bookies think it's 30% less likely than my 70% estimate.

    7/5 as said above is 1.40 which is what Barcelona have got.
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