Exit poll result.

[Dibble]

Tories 39%.

[super-niall]

WTF is an exit poll?

[Chappers]

Originally Posted by Dibble

Tories 39%.

if you say so.

[rokerman]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_poll

An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. Unlike an opinion poll, which asks whom the voter plans to vote for or some similar formulation, an exit poll asks whom the voter actually voted for.

[stephen cartwright]

Originally Posted by Dibble

Tories 39%.

where in the country did they exit from?

[Magnificent Bastard]

Originally Posted by super-niall

WTF is an exit poll?

Interviewers stop every nth person coming out the polling station and give them a mock ballot paper to fill in, if someone refuses they are not replaced by another person. Every hour, the papers are collected and phoned back to HQ, where they are weighted for differential response rates.

The first result comes out at 10pm on the dot, with a final projection at 11pm or so.

The aim of the exit poll is to predict the seat totals, not the share of the vote, and the team will try to work out if there are different shifts in support in different types of seat. The call is based on a probability of each seat going one way or the other, all summed up to make a seat total.

In terms of past accuracy, the exit poll last time got the Labour majority exactly right (though they were slightly off with Conservative and Lib Dem seats). Unless something goes terribly wrong, we should have a broad idea of the result a couple of minutes after 10 o'clock.

[Dan The Man]

where was this doon south like.

[EcosseMackem]

Originally Posted by Dibble

Tories 39%.

Only rumours at this stage - but if true that's a Tory majority

but there's an hour to go yet so it's still anyone's

[Dibble]

Will be on the telly in an hour, Im no ITK but its all ower the net, search yourself for Exit poll rumour. Theres bound to be people people who work for one of the broadcasters CM who cant keep their gobs shut.

[MikeySmith]

It's illegal to publish the results of an exit poll until voting ends.