How To Beat The Bookies At The 2014 World Cup
The odds to win World Cup (see latest odds at www.worldcupodds.com) for Brazil may only be 3/1 but itís hard to argue against their chances. Only South American teams have been victorious in World Cups held in any American continent whilst Brazil were able to put home advantage to good use when winning the Confederations Cup last summer, beating Spain 3-0 in the final. There is plenty of other value elsewhere at the World Cup 2014 especially in some of the betting markets that have been given less consideration.
Group bets pay out half way through the tournament so are great for punters and a France/Switzerland dual forecast, which is a bet on both teams to qualify, looks interesting at 11/10 in Group E. The opposition is thin on the ground with Honduras failing to even score 4 years ago at the World Cup and Ecuador no longer having the advantage of playing at high altitude which they had in qualifying. It is amazing that only 3 of their 27 qualifying points came on the road so conditions in Brazil wonít give them such an advantage.
The forecast worth backing in Group G should be a straight forecast on Germany and Portugal, meaning you are backing Germany to win the group and Portugal to finish second. They have been drawn with Ghana and USA who are both solid teams but nowhere near the class of Germany and Portugal. The two Europeans were drawn together in Euro 2012 as well and on that occasion Germany won the group and Portugal finished second and it would be no surprise if that form was upheld again here at nice odds of 13/8.
Another market that should be of interest is the team top scorer betting. Arguably the best bet here comes for Mexico and the selection isnít Javier Hernandez. The Man Utd striker was Mexicoís second best scorer in qualifying with five goals but impressively Oribe Peralta scored twice as many goals despite playing fewer games. Thatís a really good record and it is quite surprising to see some bookies offer 3/1 on him outscoring his team mates and that looks a great value bet.
In the same market, this time with Italy, Mario Balotelli looks a good bet at 15/8. He showed he is a big game player at Euro 2012 and for a team that doesnít score many he might only need a couple at this World Cup to outscore his team mates. He scored 5 in qualifying and the only other player to score more than 2 was Pablo Osvaldo, who hasnít even made the squad! That leaves things clear for Balotelli who has the added bonus of taking penalties.
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May 23, 2014